2011-2012 NFL Playoff Pick'em

Discussion in 'NFL' started by bada, Jan 3, 2012.

  1. bada

    bada Administrator Staff Member

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    OK boys and girls, time for the Playoff Pick'em!!! Anyone is free to join. Winner will receive 10,000 WRT cash.

    We will do our usual method. All you do is pick the winner of each game straight up. No spread. The only difference is that you put "confidence points" associated with each of the 4 games.

    So the game you feel MOST comfortable with, you would put 4pts on it. The next most confident game you would put 3 pts on it, all the way to the least confident, you would put 1 pt on it.


    PLAYOFF STANDINGS

    [table][tr][td]Through Championship Round Weekend[/td][/tr]
    [tr][td]Name[/td][td]Total Pts[/td][td]Week 1[/td][td]Week 2[/td][td]Week 3[/td][td]SuperBowl[/td][td]Corrrect Picks[/td][/tr]
    [tr][td]Bada[/td][td]25pts[/td][td]5pts[/td][td]8pts[/td][td]7pts[/td][td]4pts[/td][td]8/11[/td][/tr]
    [tr][td]Bigs[/td][td]17pts[/td][td]7pts[/td][td]7pts[/td][td]3pts[/td][td]0pts[/td][td]6/11[/td][/tr]
    [tr][td]Xbay[/td][td]16pts[/td][td]7pts[/td][td]9pts[/td][td]0pts[/td][td]0pts[/td][td]6/11[/td][/tr]
    [tr][td]Chum[/td][td]16pts[/td][td]9pts[/td][td]7pts[/td][td]0pts[/td][td]0pts[/td][td]5/11[/td][/tr]
    [tr][td]TMC[/td][td]16pts[/td][td]5pts[/td][td]7pts[/td][td]0pts[/td][td]4pts[/td][td]5/11[/td][/tr]
    [tr][td]Tarantism[/td][td]9pts[/td][td]4pts[/td][td]5pts[/td][td]0pts[/td][td]0pts[/td][td]4/11[/td][/tr][/table]
     
  2. TMC

    TMC Administrator Staff Member

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    (4 points) Steelers at Broncos.- The fact that Denver made it this far is a miracle in itself... The Steelers will be without Mendenhall and Clark, but still think that D is gonna make Tebow beat himself...

    (3 points) Lions at Saints.- Best offense in the NFL puts on a show vs a Detroit team that's just happy they've made the playoffs after more than a decade of futility.

    (2 points) Falcons at Giants.- Very tough game to predict, as the Falcons can win at NY and it wouldn't surprise me at all. But I really like the options NY has on the passing game and think Eli will find a way to win a high scoring game.

    (1 point) Bengals at Texans.- Honestly, have no clue... but Houston hasn't been playing well as of late, are in the playoffs for the first time in their life and have a pretty good defense to beat. Of course, Dalton still hasn't won a really tough game... but I like the Bengals to take this one on the road.
     
  3. Bigstrads

    Bigstrads Administrator Staff Member

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    Oooo, ok, different dimension I wasnt expecting...............no room for learning curve here though!

    (4 points) Lions @ Saints = Lions cant defend sh*t right now and simply put, the Saints cant be stopped.............should be a truly awesome game.

    (3 points) Steelers @ Broncos = Big injury Issues for the Steelers and to me, that D isnt what it used to be............plus, although Tebow has lost that halo, he still might have some heroics left in him.

    (2 points) Falcons @ Giants = Sorry Tarantism, no dis-respect but I just like these Giants ability to carve most anyone and then find ways to get at Ryan.

    (1 point) Bengals @ Texans = Hmmm, tough one, the Bengals are slipping a little.............Texans, who knows, when you hold out TJ Yates because you dont want to lose your top QB for the playoffs, then youre in trouble. However, their D and the Foster/Tate tandem..........I think it happens for them.
     
  4. xbay

    xbay NBA 1st Team All Pro Staff Member

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    (4 points) Lions at Saints

    (3 points) Steelers at Broncos

    (2 points) Falcons at Giants

    (1 point) Bengals at Texans
     
  5. Tarantism

    Tarantism NBA Draftee

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    (4 Points) Pittsburgh Steelers at Denver Broncos- People keep mentioning last year's Saints @ Seahawks game as a reference point for why Broncos can win this one. Well, unless Roethlisberger is far more injured then anybody is admitting, I do not see a repeat of last year's upset in this one. It's hard to imagine that a Steelers team that ranked 1st overall in defense (1st against pass, 8th against run) would have much trouble plugging the Broncos rushing attack. McGahee has slowed down a bit here recently and Tebow has suddenly become turnover prone. Not only do I like Pittsburgh, but I even like them to cover @ +10.5.

    (3 Points) Cincinnati Bengals @ Houston Texans- I am feeling pretty confident about picking the Texans here because they have a for real defense and they already downed this Bengals team in Cincy earlier this year. I also do not trust the amount of young starters that the Bengals are playing on offense against a top tear defense in the post season. I do feel that whichever team happens to win this one will probably be one and done anyway.

    (2 Points) Atlanta Falcons @ New York Giants- People, especially the Giants themselves and the national media, have a very short memory. What they remember? That the Giants bested an all-time rival in a prime time game last Sunday night to win the highly touted NFC East division title. What they forgot? That this same Giants team is quarterbacked by an inconsistent gunslinger, has no rushing attack OR defense (outside of an obviously good pass rush), and lost some very winnable games during the season. As a matter of fact, they lost to the Redskins TWICE, including one game that could have locked up the division far before week 17. This Giants team rarely, if ever, has two good wins in a row and outside of playing the Cowboys they did not play well down the stretch.

    It's a battle of two pretty inconsistent teams here but honestly I keep hearing people proclaiming that "the Giants are the team that you don't want to play right now". Why, because they lost to the Redskins 3 weeks ago in a high stakes game? Because they barely beat the struggling and imploding Jets? Because they were able to beat up on a crappy Cowboys team that didn't have Murry or a fully healthy Romo last week? Where is the real justification for this?

    On another note, in an NFC full of top notch quarterbacks this year, Matt Ryan has really flown under the radar. In his last nine games he has gone 193 of 313 [61.7%], 2,494 YDS [8.0 avg], 20 TD, 4 INT with a 102.6 Passer Rating. Over a full season that projects to 343 of 556 [61.7%], 4433 YDS [8.0 avg] 35 TD, 7 INT. I know that Drew Brees is god and that he will probably post over 6,000 yards next year because he is more amazing than baby jesus but Matt Ryan has really played like a QB who is ready to take the next step. I believe that next year we will be talking about Matt Ryan in that upper tier category of QBs, in the group right below super-jesus Brees, Rodgers and Brady. That would put him in the category with Stafford, Roethlisberger and probably Eli Manning (and Peyton if he can return at full form). If Matt Ryan isn't in that group already then I expect him to be.

    Anyway, I am not suggesting that this game will be a cakewalk by any stretch. I do, however, like this matchup against the Giants because we can pound them with the run (and probably win that battle because of their small defensive line). We can then work them with the no-huddle attack (the Falcons "texas" offense, I think it's called), the short passing game to Roddy and Tony Gonzalez and just play keep away from Manning and company, limiting the effectiveness that both their pass rush and passing attack should have on this game.

    (1 Point) Lions at Saints- I am putting this game as my least confident because, while I think that the Saints are a better team, this might be the worst matchup possible for New Orleans in the first round. They must have been salivating at the opportunity to get an Atlanta team that has not yet had time to recover from the drumming that they received two weeks ago at the hands of the Saints. Detroit has the offense to keep up with the Saints, a streaky QB who seems to be on the upswing and has the ability and confidence to keep up with Brees, and the defensive line that can challenge the New Orleans o-line and create problems for Brees. Another thing that should be noted is that several players- Fairley, Suh, Houston, Delmas to name a few- were inactive for the last meeting between these two teams and the Saints still only scored 31 points.

    Part of me is just being a fan here by giving Detroit such a chance in this one, because if the Lions and Falcons win then things would suddenly break as well as they could for the Falcons. A division rival and team that they know can beat them would be knocked out, the NFC's hottest team would be kicked for the playoffs early, the Falcons would retain a sliver of hope for a home playoff game against a team that they have already proven they can beat, and the Falcons would travel to San Francisco instead of Green Bay in the second round. Really, Detroit winning here would be HUGE for us. Here's hoping, I guess.
     
  6. xbay

    xbay NBA 1st Team All Pro Staff Member

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    Very long pick posts, Tarantism. Nice. I would've took Atlanta, but with the Giants at home and Atlanta yet to win a playoff game, I'll stick with the more conservative route.
     
  7. Tarantism

    Tarantism NBA Draftee

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    I think that's fair. And yeah, I suppose I had a lot to say lol.
     
  8. bada

    bada Administrator Staff Member

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    (4 points) Lions at Saints - I would put the Steelers here but they are so injured it is scary... The Saints... especially a Gregg Williams defense is so different at home. Should be a very fun game to watch but I think the Saints have a real bitter taste in their mouth from getting bitch slapped last year in the first round by the Seahawks that they will look to vanquish.

    (3 points)Steelers at Broncos - Injuries, injuries, injuries. If I was betting on this game, I would take the Broncos plus the 9pts. Think it will be a low scoring affair but the Steelers pull it out 13-10.

    (2 points) Bengals at Texans - Another injured team in the Texans but I think their ground game and defense puts them over the top and they get their 1st playoff win in franchise history.

    (1 point) Falcons at Giants - This game could go either way. I just don't feel the Giants have much of a home field advantage, however it will be cold for the dome team. Eli has had a great season (ever seen someone so quietly throw for almost 5,000 yards!!!!) and I love Victor Cruz but I think Atl gets it done. If Ryan goes 0-3 in the playoffs, he will start hearing it.
     
  9. Chum

    Chum NBA 1st Team All Pro

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    (4 points) Lions @ Saints - Saints

    (3 points) Falcons @ Giants - Giants

    (2 points) Steelers @ Broncos - Broncos

    (1 point) Bengals @ Texans - Bengals
     
  10. xbay

    xbay NBA 1st Team All Pro Staff Member

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    I'd love to see a Falcons vs 49ers match up, but that means the Lions have to win and well ... it's soooooooooooooooooo hard to root for the Lions because of Jim Schwartz.
     
  11. bada

    bada Administrator Staff Member

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    Standings on first post updated. Chum takes the lead out of the gate!
     
  12. TMC

    TMC Administrator Staff Member

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    Won't be around this weekend, so lets get to the picks:

    (4 points) Broncos at Patriots.- Sorry, but no. It ain't gonna happen. Stop the Tebow-mania. He can win, true, but it's the playoffs, on the road and vs a far better team than his own. Just won't happen.

    (3 points) Texans at Ravens.- If only the Ravens had home field for the whole playoffs, they'd be the team to beat. That's the case vs the Texans, btw...

    (2 points) Saints at Niners.- I'm not ruling out a Niners win, their D has been outstanding this year. But the Saints have the best offense in the NFL, and Brees is having the best statistical season of any QB in league history. Just can't pick against them.

    (1 point) Giants at Packers.- Taking the Packers because Rodgers is the real MVP of this league... but the Giants are hot at the right time and might be good enough to shock the Packers on the road. Yes, I think they have a real chance.
     
  13. xbay

    xbay NBA 1st Team All Pro Staff Member

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    I'll do it now, too, so I don't forget.

    (4 points) Texans at Ravens.- At home. With that defense. All they have to do is limit Arian Foster and put the game in TJ Yates' hands, which I don't think will happen. I know it's Flacco and the Texans' defense is still a pretty nice unit, but still.

    (3 points) Broncos at Patriots.- I don't see the Tebow magic continuing in Foxboro, but I have a very small feeling (the same feeling I had against the Steelers) that the Broncos could somehow find a way to win this game.

    (2 points) Saints at Niners.- Just like Michael Wilbon was saying on PTI ... at some point, defense is going to come in and not let an offense do their thing. The Saints' offense will get theirs once in a while, but it will be that defense that will be their fall. And best believe Drew Brees won't be completely comfortable as Justin Smith, Aldon Smith, and the rest of the 49ers' front-7 come bum rushing in.

    (1 point) Giants at Packers.- If I keep listening to the media, I'd probably side with the Giants here. It should be a back-and-forth game between the two, since both defenses have been pretty bad. But I have to side with the Packers at Lambeau against a team that's all offense and because I really want to see a 49ers vs Packers NFC Championship game.
     
  14. bada

    bada Administrator Staff Member

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    (4 points) Broncos at Patriots.-Patriots have a nasty defense but I dont think Bellichick will be as stupid and arrogant at the Steelers were by putting 9 men in the box... hell, I think I even could complete some passes against only two secondary players. Pats win this one.

    (3 points) Texans at Ravens.- Ravens were great at home this year and I think the Texans have exhaled having finally made the playoffs and winning a playoff game. Ravens get the dub.

    (2 points) Giants at Packers.- Pass rush probably will give the Pack some trouble but the Packers are healthy and will get it done after what I think will be a slow start to the game for them. 2nd half they roll.

    (1 point)Saints at Niners.- Just love Brees, however the best front 7 in football will slow them down along with being on the road. The biggest problem I have with the Saints is they can't tackle and wont be able to get pressure on Smith on the natural turf. A solid running game and no pass rush will allow Alex Smith to be comfortable and manage the game. Niners get 4 Akers FG's and two TD's in route to a 26-24 win.
     
  15. Chum

    Chum NBA 1st Team All Pro

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    (4 POINTS) Texans @ Ravens - RAVENS

    (3 POINTS) Saints @ Niners - NINERS

    (2 POINTS) Giants @ Packers - PACKERS

    (1 POINT) Broncos @ Patriots - TEBOWS! What the hell ;)
     
  16. Bigstrads

    Bigstrads Administrator Staff Member

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    (4 points) Broncos @ Patriots = "He" just cant do it again.............he just cant, I think a vortex would open up in the middle of the field and would spell the end of days............or perhaps a beam of light from above would be more appropriate. Pats D is dreadful yes but I cant see them stopping Brady and co.

    (3 points) Texans @ Ravens = Well, we all know what the Ravens can do when focussed and at home, so should be ok.

    (2 points) Giants @ Packers = Should be really great game, especially with the Packers D not doing great of late. But who can say they can stop the Pack's offense?

    (1 point) Saints @ Niners = Tough one, cuz even though the Niners D is spectacular, I just cant imagine ANYONE stopping the Saints.
     
  17. Tarantism

    Tarantism NBA Draftee

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    (4 Points) Broncos @ Patriots
    (3 Points) Giants @ Packers
    (2 Points) Texans @ Ravens
    (1 Point) Saints @ 49ers
     
  18. Tarantism

    Tarantism NBA Draftee

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    Eeeeeewwwwwwwwwwwwww!
     
  19. TMC

    TMC Administrator Staff Member

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    Again, won't be around for the weekend, so here goes...

    (4 points) Giants at Niners.- I thought the Niners lack offense to make it to the SB... but they proved me wrong last week (well, and New Orleans defense also helped). I'm sure it'll be a close game, but I think the Niners D can get the stops the Packers couldn't vs the Giants.

    (3 points) Ravens at Pats.- A bit of a shocker, but I have a feeling Baltimore will play their best game of the season on the road, on both sides.
     
  20. xbay

    xbay NBA 1st Team All Pro Staff Member

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    (4 points) Giants at Niners.- What made the 49ers' win last week so impressive is that they stood toe-to-toe with the Saints. Unlike the Packers, who seemed to have give the game away. Yes, kudos to the Giants for playing New York Giants football, but the Packers gave that game away. I mean, we're talking about being only down 13-10 at halftime, if they're smarter and don't allow the hail mary. While the Giants talk their way into this game, the 49ers are taking a more quiet approach. I despise ESPN right now because of how hard they're riding on the Giants' ____. WE NEED THIS!

    (3 points) Ravens at Pats.- It's tough, but I think Ray Rice running around in circles and over the Patriots D, while the Ravens D gets enough stops on Brady is enough to advance to the SB for HarBowl II.
     

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